Increasing
use of biofuels is an oft-touted solution to the
impending oil crisis. Deepak Rughani looks at how
misguided UN climate policy could trigger
unprecedented ecosystem loss
The
Industrial North has already steered
climate change policy strongly in its
favour, with precious little achieved in
terms of mitigation. However new policy is
being drafted which will eclipse the
history of ‘false solutions’. If passed, in
combination with the current rush to
bioenergy and significant loopholes in the
REDD mechanism (Reduced Emissions from
Deforestation and Degradation), it could
sound the death knell for natural
ecosystems.
The idea is simple; enhance the capacity of
landscapes to sequester carbon and reward
the corporations who make this happen with
carbon credits. But the plan has limited
scientific basis and conversion of
ecosystems to plantations is a key part of
the strategy.
Central to the discussion is the
fundamental building block of ecological
stability – biodiversity. Each species has
its place contributing to the complex
biological web that holds ecosystems
together and which also drives a number of
wider ecosystem functions or ‘services’
such as rainfall recycling. Replace the
earth’s last remaining ecosystems with
biologically sterile plantations, and our
already-faltering rainfall cycles could
completely break down. How dissimilar is
this to the ancient Easter Islanders who
felled their last sub-tropical forests
changing their habitat and freshwater
supply forever?
At Copenhagen last year and again at Bonn
this year the UN Framework Convention on
Climate Change (UNFCCC) introduced draft
texts to include forests, farmland,
agricultural soils, grassland and wetlands
into the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM)
for offsetting purposes.
The CDM is already problematic allowing the
North to sidestep responsibility for
reducing emissions at home; but these
proposals are far more sinister. Instead of
protecting ecosystems, the new draft -
which comes under the Kyoto Protocol title
Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry
(LULUCF) - actively promotes the notion
that industrial plantations hold more
carbon than natural habitats.
At the UN technical meeting in Bonn some of
the large NGOs, such as the US based
Environmental Defence Fund, laid out
complex analyses showing how a carbon
dividend from industrial forest and
agriculture could be assessed. But their
calculations, like those used to justify
agrofuels, are fundamentally flawed. For
one thing key components such as emissions
from initial land use change, as landscapes
are converted from, say, natural forests to
tree plantations, are simply ignored,
assumed carbon neutral. So is the vast
carbon slug associated with indirect land
use change (ILUC) as communities are
displaced into new habitat.
These
exclusions along with numerous caveats
ensure EDF’s analysis demonstrates carbon
gains. As one participant remarked, maybe
EDF should consider rebranding themselves
the Environmental Derivatives Fund!
Irrespective of the bogus
analysis, LULUCF proposals cut right across
any merit which REDD may still have by
supporting industrial forestry and
therefore rewarding forest degradation.
Alongside, it violates the Declaration of
Rights of Indigenous Peoples.
The LULUCF draft policy
also includes two controversial
technologies: biochar and ‘no-till’
agriculture. Industrial biochar is the
large-scale conversion of woody biomass to
charcoal for the purposes of carbon
sequestration in soils. The foremost
biochar lobby group, the International
Biochar Initiative (IBI) also promote
biochar as a soil conditioner and variously
by others as a fertiliser. Unfortunately
these ‘benefits’ fail to stand up to
scrutiny. Biochar has been shown to oxidise
quickly in some studies and to accelerate
the oxidation of soil organic carbon
(humus) in others. Two recent studies also
cast doubt on its value as a fertiliser and
as a carbon store.
The controversy has led to a formal
declaration against biochar attracting
signatures from 150 NGOs. Even an expert
group on biodiversity and climate change
(CBD and UNEP) recently questioned the long
term stability of biochar in soils and the
impacts it would have on further land use
change. Despite all this, the IBI is
lobbying hard to win CDM accreditation for
biochar and inclusion of biochar in the US
Climate Bill.
Agriculture is similarly tricky. ‘No-till’
GM soya is advocated as a way of locking up
soil carbon. The theory is that by drilling
the seeds, emissions from tilling are
avoided and this should be rewarded with
carbon credits. Aerial chemical
applications are ignored and no mention is
made of the loss of biodiverse organic
community agriculture which also locks in
carbon whilst benefitting biodiversity,
crop resilience and food sovereignty.
The assault on ecosystems is already
relentless; rainforest alone is being lost
at a rate of one acre per second. Yet
LULUCF in the CDM, in combination with all
existing pressures, risks consigning us to
an Easter Island scenario on a planetary
scale.
At Bonn in August the UNFCCC have scheduled
a further meeting to agree a number of
draft texts. This may be our last chance to
act.
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